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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Travis Kelce under 39.5 receiving yards
Won5 of 10last 10 games · 50%
Best price+124Kalshi
Price needs44.6%wins to break even
Every game6 of 22this season and last
Trend score-22.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 45% to break even | 5%–56% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 45% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 45% to break even | 17%–54% | 11 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 45% to break even | 5%–56% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 5 of 1729%needs 45% to break even | 15%–49% | 15 points shortwon 29%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 6 of 2227%needs 45% to break even | 15%–45% | 17 points shortwon 27%, needs 45% |
Games like tonight
Tonight KC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SEA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Travis Kelce under 39.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 39.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  LAC | 53 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  LV | 15 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  MIA | 59 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  IND | 101 | -61.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  DEN | 71 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | LV | 12 | +27.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | DEN | 36 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  TEN | 6 | +33.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | LAC | 70 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  HOU | 8 | +31.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  DAL | 45 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | IND | 43 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | DEN | 91 | -51.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  BUF | 66 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  WSH | 99 | -59.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | LV | 54 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  DET | 78 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  JAX | 61 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  BAL | 48 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYG | 26 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  PHI | 61 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | LAC | 47 | -7.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsTravis Kelce · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETListed questionable |  -168at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 45.5 receiving yardsTravis Kelce · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETListed questionable |  -115at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 46.5 receiving yardsTravis Kelce · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETListed questionable |  -112at BetOnline | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsTravis Kelce · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETListed questionable | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 59.5 receiving yardsTravis Kelce · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETListed questionable | +166at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Travis Kelce in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsTravis Kelce · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETListed questionable |  -135at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 57% to break even | -14.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 receptionsTravis Kelce · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ETListed questionable | +118at DraftKings | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.