This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 53% to break even | 54%–93% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 53% to break even | 50%–96% | 30 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 9 of 2045%needs 53% to break even | 28%–63% | 8 points shortwon 45%, needs 53% |
| Every game |
Tonight SEA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against KC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 25.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 25.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 receiving yardsAJ Barner · |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 receptionsAJ Barner · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET |
| 14 of 2654%needs 53% to break even |
| 38%–69% |
| evenwon 54%, needs 53% |
| This season |
| Wk 6 | 16 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 20 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 12 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 69 | -43.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 8 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 13 | +12.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 22 | 54 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 21 | 13 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 20 | 0 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | 43 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 49 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 27 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 27 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 35 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 18 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 70 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 0 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 24 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 7 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 71 | -45.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 53 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 32 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 23 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 26 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 0 | +25.5 | Won |
| -110at DraftKings |
| 11 of 20· last season55%needs 52% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -29.1Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 receiving yardsAJ Barner · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -220at Fanatics |
| 15 of 20· last season75%needs 69% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsAJ Barner · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +135at BetMGM | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 43% to break even | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsAJ Barner · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -138at DraftKings | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 58% to break even | -23.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 receptionsAJ Barner · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 20· last season25%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.