This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 98% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 98% to break even | 44%–95% | 18 points shortwon 80%, needs 98% | won by 3.6points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 98% to break even | 35%–81% | 38 points shortwon 60%, needs 98% | won by 2.2points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 98% to break even | 28%–67% | 51 points shortwon 47%, needs 98% | lost by 1.1points |
| Last season | 17 of 3253%needs 98% to break even | 39%–67% | 45 points shortwon 53%, needs 98% | won by 2.7points |
| Every game | 17 of 3253% |
Tonight MTSU plays at home, as the favorite. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 11 of 15 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against MTSU to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 39%–67% |
| 45 points shortwon 53%, needs 98% |
| won by 2.7points |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 12 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 12 | +12 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 12 | +12 | Won | |
| Feb 18 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | -2 | -2 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | -5 | -5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | -17 | -17 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 37 | +37 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | -9 | -9 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | CMBL | 16 | +16 | Won |
| Dec 17 | 1 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | -21 | -21 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 15 | +15 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | -13 | -13 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | -25 | -25 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | WEBS | 53 | +53 | Won |
| Nov 5 | MILG | 49 | +49 | Won |
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