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MLBGame lineMoneyline
TB to win (moneyline)
Won105 of 171this season · 61%
Best price-107Kalshi
Price needs51.7%wins to break even
Every game182 of 333this season and last
Trend score-6.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 52% to break even | 44%–87% | 18 points betterwon 70%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 52% to break even | 46%–83% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| This season | 105 of 17161%needs 52% to break even | 55%–67% | 10 points betterwon 61%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 77 of 16248%needs 52% to break even | 41%–54% | 4 points shortwon 48%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 182 of 33355%needs 52% to break even | 50%–59% | 3 points betterwon 55%, needs 52% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against MIL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
TB to win (moneyline)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against tb to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
