This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 48% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | 4total goals |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 48% to break even | 19%–65% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | 4.1total goals |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 48% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points shortwon 47%, needs 48% | 4.1total goals |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 48% to break even | 19%–71% | 5 points shortwon 43%, needs 48% | 3.9total goals |
| Last season | 12 of 3435%needs 48% to break even | 23%–49% | 13 points shortwon 35%, needs 48% | 3.1total goals |
| Every game | 15 of 4137%needs 48% to break even | 25%–49% | 12 points shortwon 37%, needs 48% | 3.2total goals |
Tonight STR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 21 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | NAN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | METZ | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | NAN | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 17 | METZ | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, STR gamesRC Strasbourg Alsace · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 34% to break even6 of 21 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, STR gamesRC Strasbourg Alsace · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 55% to break even11 of 21 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.