This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 44% to break even | 35%–81% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 44% to break even | 39%–78% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 44% to break even | 29%–81% | 13 points betterwon 57%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 14 of 3441%needs 44% to break even | 28%–55% | 3 points shortwon 41%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 18 of 4144%needs 44% to break even | 32%–57% | evenwon 44%, needs 44% |
Tonight PAR plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
PAR goals in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | PAR goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | METZ | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | NAN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | NAN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | METZ | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 team totalParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -552at Polymarket | 28 of 34· last season82%needs 85% to break even | Record is last season's | -39.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR to win moneylineParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 36% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 37% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 60% to break even | -19.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 2.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 15 of 34· last season44%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, PAR gamesParis FC · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.