This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 47% to break even | 13%–56% | 17 points shortwon 30%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 47% to break even | 22%–61% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 47% to break even | 10%–59% | 19 points shortwon 29%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 14 of 3441%needs 47% to break even | 28%–55% | 6 points shortwon 41%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 16 of 4139%needs 47% to break even | 28%–52% | 8 points shortwon 39%, needs 47% |
Tonight PSG plays at home, as the favorite, after a win. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against psg -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 team totalParis Saint-Germain FC · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | NAN | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | METZ | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 13 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | METZ | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 22 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | NAN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even |
| -12.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, PSG gamesParis Saint-Germain FC · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| PSG to win moneylineParis Saint-Germain FC · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | -234at Polymarket | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 70% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, PSG gamesParis Saint-Germain FC · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalParis Saint-Germain FC · Sun, Oct 25, 3:45 PM ET | +107at Polymarket | 14 of 34· last season41%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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