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Won24 of 34last season · 71%
Best price-458Kalshi
Price needs82.1%wins to break even
Every game28 of 41this season and last
Trend score-36.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 82% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 82% to break even | 44%–95% | 2 points shortwon 80%, needs 82% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 82% to break even | 35%–81% | 22 points shortwon 60%, needs 82% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 82% to break even | 39%–78% | 22 points shortwon 60%, needs 82% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 82% to break even | 29%–81% | 25 points shortwon 57%, needs 82% |
| Last season | 24 of 3471%needs 82% to break even | 57%–82% | 11 points shortwon 71%, needs 82% |
| Every game | 28 of 4168%needs 82% to break even | 56%–79% | 14 points shortwon 68%, needs 82% |
Games like tonight
Tonight PSG plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against HAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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PSG to win (moneyline)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against psg to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  STR | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  MNS | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  OLM | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  BRE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 |  MON | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 |  LILL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 |  REN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 |  PAR | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 13 |  RCL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 10 | BRE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 2 |  LOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 |  ANG | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 22 | NAN | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 |  LYON | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  TOU | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  NICE | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 | MON | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 |  HAC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | METZ | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 13 | REN | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | OLM | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | STR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  AUX | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | LILL | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 | PAR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | METZ | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | REN | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | MON | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | HAC | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | LYON | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | NICE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | LOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | BRE | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 17 | STR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | LILL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | AUX | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 22 | OLM | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | RCL | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | TOU | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 | ANG | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 17 | NAN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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