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Won7 of 34last season · 21%
Best price+945Kalshi
Price needs9.6%wins to break even
Every game7 of 41this season and last
Trend score-5.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 10% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 10% to break even | 0%–35% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 10% to break even | 2%–35% | evenwon 10%, needs 10% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 10% to break even | 2%–25% | 3 points shortwon 7%, needs 10% |
| This season | 0 of 70%needs 10% to break even | 0%–28% | 10 points shortwon 0%, needs 10% |
| Last season | 7 of 3421%needs 10% to break even | 12%–34% | 11 points betterwon 21%, needs 10% |
| Every game | 7 of 4117%needs 10% to break even | 10%–29% | 8 points betterwon 17%, needs 10% |
Games like tonight
Tonight HAC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against PSG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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HAC to win (moneyline)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against hac to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  AUX | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  LILL | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  TOU | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  ANG | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  BRE | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 |  LYON | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 |  MON | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 |  LOR | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 10 |  OLM | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 3 | LILL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | METZ | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | ANG | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  NICE | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 | AUX | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 |  PAR | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 | LYON | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | BRE | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 |  PSG | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | NAN | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | TOU | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 |  STR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 |  RCL | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | MON | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  REN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | ANG | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | LYON | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | PAR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | LILL | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | PSG | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | NAN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | TOU | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | BRE | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | AUX | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | OLM | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | REN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | METZ | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | LOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | STR | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | NICE | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 | RCL | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | MON | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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