This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 2total goals |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 52% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% | 2.3total goals |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 52% to break even | 39%–78% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 2.3total goals |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 52% to break even | 29%–81% | 5 points betterwon 57%, needs 52% | 1.9total goals |
| Last season | 19 of 3456%needs 52% to break even | 42%–69% | 4 points betterwon 56%, needs 52% | 2.9total goals |
| Every game | 23 of 4156%needs 52% to break even | 43%–68% | 4 points betterwon 56%, needs 52% | 2.7total goals |
Tonight LOR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against BRE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 21 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | METZ | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | NAN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | METZ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | NAN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 8 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, LOR gamesLorient · Sat, Oct 31, 3:45 PM ET | PIN-110at Pinnacle | 15 of 34· last season44%needs 52% to break even11 of 21 at home | Record is last season's | -25.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, LOR gamesLorient · Sat, Oct 31, 3:45 PM ET | PIN+251at Pinnacle | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 28% to break even7 of 21 at home | Record is last season's | -13.3Not beating its price | |
| LOR to win moneylineLorient · Sat, Oct 31, 3:45 PM ET | +160at FanDuel | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even10 of 21 at home | -16.1Not beating its price | ||
| LOR PK spreadLorient · Sat, Oct 31, 3:45 PM ET | -108at Bovada | 3 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped75%needs 52% to break even10 of 14 at home | -18.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.