This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 35% to break even | 5%–56% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% | 2.6total goals |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 35% to break even | 2%–35% | 25 points shortwon 10%, needs 35% | 2.1total goals |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 35% to break even | 8%–41% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% | 2.7total goals |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 35% to break even | 3%–45% | 20 points shortwon 14%, needs 35% | 2.3total goals |
| Last season | 3 of 349% |
Tonight HAC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against PSG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 21 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, HAC gamesLe Havre · Fri, Oct 30, 2:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAC +1.5 spreadLe Havre · Fri, Oct 30, 2:00 PM ET |
| 4%–20% |
| 26 points shortwon 9%, needs 35% |
| 2.2total goals |
| Every game | 4 of 4110%needs 35% to break even | 4%–20% | 25 points shortwon 10%, needs 35% | 2.2total goals |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | METZ | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | NAN | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | NAN | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | METZ | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| PIN-102at Pinnacle |
| 28 of 34· last season82%needs 50% to break even17 of 21 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 0.3Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 46% to break even20 of 21 at home |
| 16.1Very strong |
| HAC +2.5 spreadLe Havre · Fri, Oct 30, 2:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 67% to break even21 of 21 at home | Won last 28 in a row | 10.0Strong |
| Draw, HAC gamesLe Havre · Fri, Oct 30, 2:00 PM ET | +685at Kalshi | 14 of 34· last season41%needs 13% to break even9 of 21 at home | Record is last season's | 4.6Good |
| HAC to win moneylineLe Havre · Fri, Oct 30, 2:00 PM ET | +1074at Kalshi | 7 of 34· last season21%needs 9% to break even5 of 21 at home | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, HAC gamesLe Havre · Fri, Oct 30, 2:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even12 of 21 at home | -21.7Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, HAC gamesLe Havre · Fri, Oct 30, 2:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 50% to break even9 of 21 at home | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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