This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 58% to break even | 44%–95% | 22 points betterwon 80%, needs 58% | 3.4total goals |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 58% to break even | 54%–93% | 22 points betterwon 80%, needs 58% | 3.7total goals |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 58% to break even | 52%–87% | 16 points betterwon 73%, needs 58% | 3.4total goals |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 58% to break even | 55%–97% | 28 points betterwon 86%, needs 58% | 4total goals |
| Last season |
Tonight AUX plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against MNS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 20 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, AUX gamesAuxerre · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, AUX gamesAuxerre · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET |
| 15 of 3444%needs 58% to break even |
| 31%–58% |
| 14 points shortwon 44%, needs 58% |
| 2.3total goals |
| Every game | 21 of 4151%needs 58% to break even | 39%–64% | 6 points shortwon 51%, needs 58% | 2.6total goals |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | NAN | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | METZ | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | METZ | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | NAN | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| LVG+120at LowVig |
| 19 of 34· last season56%needs 45% to break even10 of 20 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -26.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 34· last season29%needs 27% to break even4 of 20 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -18.0Not beating its price |
| AUX to win moneylineAuxerre · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +115at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 47% to break even8 of 20 at home | -20.2Not beating its price |
| AUX -0.5 spreadAuxerre · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | LVG+115at LowVig | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 47% to break even8 of 20 at home | -20.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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