This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 59% to break even | 27%–86% | 1 points betterwon 60%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 59% to break even | 35%–81% | 1 points betterwon 60%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 59% to break even | 46%–83% | 8 points betterwon 67%, needs 59% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 59% to break even | 41%–90% | 13 points betterwon 71%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 17 of 3450%needs 59% to break even | 36%–64% | 9 points shortwon 50%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 22 of 4154%needs 59% to break even | 41%–66% | 5 points shortwon 54%, needs 59% |
Tonight BRE plays at home, as the favorite, against NICE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | NAN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | METZ | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | METZ | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | NAN | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, BRE gamesBrest · Today 2:45 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 team totalBrest · Today 2:45 PM ET | +351at Kalshi | 11 of 34· last season32%needs 22% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 team totalBrest · Today 2:45 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 team totalBrest · Today 2:45 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -24.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 0.5 team totalBrest · Today 2:45 PM ET | -489at Kalshi | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 83% to break even | Record is this season's | -27.5Not beating its price | |
| BRE to win moneylineBrest · Today 2:45 PM ET | PIN+132at Pinnacle | 10 of 34· last season29%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.