This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 48% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | 2goals |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 48% to break even | 7%–46% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% | 1.8goals |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 48% to break even | 17%–54% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 48% | 2goals |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 48% to break even | 10%–59% | 20 points shortwon 29%, needs 48% | 2goals |
| Last season | 14 of 3441% |
Tonight PSG plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LYON. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 19 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
PSG goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 team totalParis Saint Germain · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, PSG gamesParis Saint Germain · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET |
| 28%–55% |
| 7 points shortwon 41%, needs 48% |
| 2.2goals |
| Every game | 16 of 4139%needs 48% to break even | 28%–52% | 9 points shortwon 39%, needs 48% | 2.1goals |
| Date | Opponent | PSG goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | NAN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | METZ | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | METZ | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 22 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | NAN | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| -129at Polymarket |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even10 of 19 at home |
| -11.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +456at Kalshi |
| 2 of 7· this season29%needs 18% to break even2 of 19 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| -10.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, PSG gamesParis Saint Germain · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 53% to break even12 of 19 at home | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, PSG gamesParis Saint Germain · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 63% to break even8 of 19 at home | Record is this season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, PSG gamesParis Saint Germain · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 41% to break even11 of 19 at home | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
| PSG to win moneylineParis Saint Germain · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -213at Bovada | 24 of 34· last season71%needs 68% to break even14 of 19 at home | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, PSG gamesParis Saint Germain · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | PIN+102at Pinnacle | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 50% to break even7 of 19 at home | Record is this season's | -25.0Not beating its price |
| PSG -1.5 spreadParis Saint Germain · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | LVG+111at LowVig | 14 of 34· last season41%needs 47% to break even10 of 19 at home | Record is last season's | -26.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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