This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 63% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 63% to break even | 35%–81% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 63% to break even | 39%–78% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 63% to break even | 29%–81% | 6 points shortwon 57%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 17 of 3450%needs 63% to break even | 36%–64% | 13 points shortwon 50%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 21 of 4151%needs 63% to break even | 39%–64% | 12 points shortwon 51%, needs 63% |
Tonight LYON plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against PSG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 10 of 20 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Lyon game, newest first: whether both teams scored.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 18 | Both scored | Won | |
| Oct 9 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 19 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | Both scored | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Both scored | Won | |
| Aug 22 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| May 17 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| May 10 | Both scored | Won | |
| May 3 | Both scored | Won | |
| Apr 25 | Both scored | Won | |
| Apr 19 | Both scored | Won | |
| Apr 12 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Both scored | Won | |
| Mar 15 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | Both scored | Won | |
| Mar 1 | Both scored | Won | |
| Feb 22 | Both scored | Won | |
| Feb 15 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | NAN | A team didn't score | Lost |
| Feb 1 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | METZ | Both scored | Won |
| Jan 18 | Both scored | Won | |
| Jan 3 | Both scored | Won | |
| Dec 14 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | NAN | A team didn't score | Lost |
| Nov 23 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | Both scored | Won | |
| Nov 2 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | Both scored | Won | |
| Oct 26 | Both scored | Won | |
| Oct 18 | Both scored | Won | |
| Oct 5 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 28 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | Both scored | Won | |
| Aug 31 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | METZ | A team didn't score | Lost |
| Aug 16 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score: No, LYON gamesLyon · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 41% to break even10 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYON to win moneylineLyon · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +585at Polymarket | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 15% to break even7 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | 15.3Very strong | |
| LYON +1.5 spreadLyon · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 31 of 34· last season91%needs 56% to break even18 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | 14.6Strong | |
| Draw, LYON gamesLyon · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +456at Kalshi | 2 of 7· this season29%needs 18% to break even6 of 20 on the road | Record is this season's | -8.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, LYON gamesLyon · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | PIN-115at Pinnacle | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 53% to break even13 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 0.5 team totalLyon · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +177at Polymarket | 6 of 34· last season18%needs 36% to break even6 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, LYON gamesLyon · Tomorrow 3:45 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 11 of 34· last season32%needs 49% to break even7 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.