This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 49% to break even | 14%–73% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 49% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 49% to break even | 22%–61% | 9 points shortwon 40%, needs 49% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 49% to break even | 19%–71% | 6 points shortwon 43%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 15 of 3444%needs 49% to break even | 31%–58% | 5 points shortwon 44%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 18 of 4144%needs 49% to break even | 32%–57% | 5 points shortwon 44%, needs 49% |
Tonight LOR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ANG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | METZ | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 2 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | NAN | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | METZ | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | NAN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 8 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, LOR gamesLorient · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 19 of 34· last season56%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalLorient · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 63% to break even | Record is this season's | -15.4Not beating its price | |
| LOR to win moneylineLorient · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | PIN+147at Pinnacle | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 40% to break even | -17.9Not beating its price | ||
| LOR 0 spreadLorient · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -133at BetOnline | 3 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped75%needs 57% to break even | -23.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 team totalLorient · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 15 of 34· last season44%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.