This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 33% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 33% to break even | 5%–56% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 33% to break even | 7%–46% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 33% to break even | 5%–33% | 19 points shortwon 13%, needs 33% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 33% to break even | 10%–59% | 4 points shortwon 29%, needs 33% |
| Last season | 9 of 3426%needs 33% to break even | 16%–40% | 6 points shortwon 26%, needs 33% |
| Every game | 11 of 4127%needs 33% to break even | 17%–39% | 6 points shortwon 27%, needs 33% |
Tonight ANG plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ang to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | NAN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | METZ | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | NAN | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | METZ | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.