This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 18% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 18% to break even | 0%–35% | 18 points shortwon 0%, needs 18% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 714%needs 18% to break even | 3%–45% | 4 points shortwon 14%, needs 18% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 714%needs 18% to break even | 3%–45% | 4 points shortwon 14%, needs 18% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 18% to break even | 3%–45% | 4 points shortwon 14%, needs 18% |
| Every game | 1 of 714%needs 18% to break even | 3%–45% | 4 points shortwon 14%, needs 18% |
Tonight TRY plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against TOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against try to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| -4 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Aug 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
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