This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 39% to break even | 27%–86% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 39% to break even | 27%–73% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 39% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% |
| This season | 6 of 1250%needs 39% to break even | 29%–71% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 16 of 3842%needs 39% to break even | 30%–55% | 3 points betterwon 42%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 22 of 5044%needs 39% to break even | 33%–56% | 5 points betterwon 44%, needs 39% |
Tonight MTY plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against GDL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against mty to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, MTY gamesMonterrey · Sat, Oct 24, 9:00 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 26 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | MAZ | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | MAZ | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 11 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| 16 of 38· last season42%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.0Not beating its price |
| MTY 0 spreadMonterrey · Sat, Oct 24, 9:00 PM ET | PIN-125at Pinnacle | 16 of 31· last season52%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, MTY gamesMonterrey · Sat, Oct 24, 9:00 PM ET | PRX-134at betPARX | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 57% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, MTY gamesMonterrey · Sat, Oct 24, 9:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 16 of 38· last season42%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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