This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 39% to break even | 27%–86% | 21 points betterwon 60%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 39% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| This season | 5 of 1338%needs 39% to break even | 20%–61% | evenwon 38%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 11 of 3432%needs 39% to break even | 21%–46% | 6 points shortwon 32%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 16 of 4734%needs 39% to break even | 24%–46% | 5 points shortwon 34%, needs 39% |
Tonight NCX plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against JUA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, NCX gamesNecaxa · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalNecaxa · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 28 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 26 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | MAZ | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | MAZ | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 10 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 15 of 34· last season44%needs 44% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -18.0Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, NCX gamesNecaxa · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 24 of 34· last season71%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 2.8Slight |
| NCX -1.5 spreadNecaxa · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 5 of 34· last season15%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalNecaxa · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 10 of 34· last season29%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -41.7Not beating its price |
| NCX to win moneylineNecaxa · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -130at Fanatics | 9 of 34· last season26%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -45.7Not beating its price |
| NCX -0.5 spreadNecaxa · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET | -140at BetOnline | 9 of 34· last season26%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -47.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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