This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 367%needs 52% to break even | 25%–92% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% | 3.4total goals |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 9 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% | 3.1total goals |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1030%needs 52% to break even | 13%–56% | 22 points shortwon 30%, needs 52% | 2.7total goals |
| This season | 3 of 838%needs 52% to break even | 16%–65% | 15 points shortwon 38%, needs 52% | 2.9total goals |
| Last season |
Tonight PAC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against AME. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 20 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, PAC gamesPachuca · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAC +1 spreadPachuca · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET |
| 18%–45% |
| 22 points shortwon 30%, needs 52% |
| 2.5total goals |
| Every game | 12 of 3832%needs 52% to break even | 21%–45% | 21 points shortwon 32%, needs 52% | 2.6total goals |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 11 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 4 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 18 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 27 | MAZ | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 14 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 10 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 20 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 23 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jul 26 | MAZ | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Jul 20 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| +146at Kalshi |
| 21 of 40· last season53%needs 41% to break even14 of 27 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -15.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3 game total, PAC gamesPachuca · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | PIN-104at Pinnacle | 21 of 30· last season70%needs 51% to break even14 of 20 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, PAC gamesPachuca · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 31 of 40· last season78%needs 63% to break even21 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 8· last 15 games, 7 skipped100%needs 53% to break even17 of 20 on the road |
| 16.1Very strong |
| PAC +1.5 spreadPachuca · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 65% to break even24 of 27 on the road | Won last 17 in a row | 11.6Strong |
| PAC to win moneylinePachuca · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +430at FanDuel | 19 of 40· last season48%needs 19% to break even10 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Draw, PAC gamesPachuca · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +355at BetUS | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 22% to break even7 of 27 on the road | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, PAC gamesPachuca · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 60% to break even13 of 27 on the road | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, PAC gamesPachuca · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 20 of 40· last season50%needs 45% to break even14 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalPachuca · Tomorrow 9:05 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 12 of 40· last season30%needs 39% to break even8 of 27 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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