This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 63% to break even | 44%–95% | 17 points betterwon 80%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 63% to break even | 35%–81% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 63% to break even | 33%–72% | 9 points shortwon 53%, needs 63% |
| This season | 8 of 1362%needs 63% to break even | 39%–80% | 1 points shortwon 62%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 19 of 4048%needs 63% to break even | 35%–60% | 15 points shortwon 48%, needs 63% |
| Every game | 27 of 5351%needs 63% to break even | 40%–62% | 12 points shortwon 51%, needs 63% |
Tonight PAC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against AME. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, PAC gamesPachuca · Sun, Oct 25, 9:05 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAC +1 spreadPachuca · Sun, Oct 25, 9:05 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | MAZ | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | MAZ | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jul 20 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 21 of 40· last season53%needs 44% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, PAC gamesPachuca · Sun, Oct 25, 9:05 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 31 of 40· last season78%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 8· last 15 games, 7 skipped100%needs 53% to break even |
| 15.5Very strong |
| PAC +1.5 spreadPachuca · Sun, Oct 25, 9:05 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 66% to break even | 10.7Strong |
| PAC to win moneylinePachuca · Sun, Oct 25, 9:05 PM ET | +425at Fanatics | 19 of 40· last season48%needs 19% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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