This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 46% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 46% to break even | 33%–72% | 8 points betterwon 53%, needs 46% |
| This season | 6 of 1250%needs 46% to break even | 29%–71% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 17 of 3450%needs 46% to break even | 36%–64% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 23 of 4650%needs 46% to break even | 38%–62% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
Tonight QRO plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, QRO gamesQuerétaro · Sun, Oct 25, 9:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QRO to win moneylineQuerétaro · Sun, Oct 25, 9:00 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | MAZ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 11 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | MAZ | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 18 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 17 of 34· last season50%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -30.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, QRO gamesQuerétaro · Sun, Oct 25, 9:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 34· last season29%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 6 of 12· this season50%needs 26% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -2.6Not beating its price |
| QRO +0.5 spreadQuerétaro · Sun, Oct 25, 9:00 PM ET | PIN-107at Pinnacle | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 52% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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