This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 42% to break even | 5%–56% | 22 points shortwon 20%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 933%needs 42% to break even | 14%–60% | 8 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 933%needs 42% to break even | 14%–60% | 8 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% |
| This season | 3 of 933%needs 42% to break even | 14%–60% | 8 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 3 of 933%needs 42% to break even | 14%–60% | 8 points shortwon 33%, needs 42% |
Tonight DEP plays on the road, as the underdog, against ATM. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, DEP gamesDeportivo De La Coruna · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 41% to break even | 0.5Slight | ||
| Under 3.5 game total, DEP gamesDeportivo De La Coruna · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 64% to break even | -14.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEP +1.5 spreadDeportivo De La Coruna · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 9 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped100%needs 49% to break even | 14.8Strong | ||
| Over 0.5 team totalDeportivo De La Coruna · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped89%needs 54% to break even | 0.4Slight | ||
| DEP to win moneylineDeportivo De La Coruna · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | +945at Kalshi | 2 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped22%needs 10% to break even | -3.3Not beating its price | ||
| Under 0.5 team totalDeportivo De La Coruna · Sat, Oct 24, 3:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 53% to break even | -31.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.