This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 50% to break even | 28%–67% | 4 points shortwon 47%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 50% to break even | 22%–70% | 6 points shortwon 44%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 12 of 3832%needs 50% to break even | 21%–45% | 19 points shortwon 32%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 16 of 4734%needs 50% to break even | 24%–46% | 16 points shortwon 34%, needs 50% |
Tonight SEV plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against sev -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, SEV gamesSevilla · Mon, Oct 26, 4:00 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | OVI | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | GIR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 | MLL | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | OVI | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | MLL | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | GIR | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 21 of 38· last season55%needs 44% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -6.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 game total, SEV gamesSevilla · Mon, Oct 26, 4:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 34% to break even | -18.8Not beating its price |
| SEV to win moneylineSevilla · Mon, Oct 26, 4:00 PM ET | -101at BetOnline | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 50% to break even | -26.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, SEV gamesSevilla · Mon, Oct 26, 4:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.