This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 44% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 44% to break even | 33%–72% | 10 points betterwon 53%, needs 44% |
| This season | 4 of 944%needs 44% to break even | 22%–70% | 1 points betterwon 44%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 19 of 3850%needs 44% to break even | 37%–63% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 23 of 4749%needs 44% to break even | 37%–61% | 5 points betterwon 49%, needs 44% |
Tonight ESP plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, ESP gamesEspanyol · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalEspanyol · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 15 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | MLL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 9 | OVI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | GIR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | OVI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | GIR | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 23 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 15 | MLL | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 19 of 38· last season50%needs 59% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -27.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, ESP gamesEspanyol · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 AM ET | +166at Kalshi | 9 of 38· last season24%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 60% to break even |
| -8.3Not beating its price |
| ESP to win moneylineEspanyol · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 AM ET | PIN+185at Pinnacle | 12 of 38· last season32%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price |
| ESP 0 spreadEspanyol · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 AM ET | +110at BetUS | 12 of 28· last season43%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalEspanyol · Sat, Oct 24, 10:15 AM ET | +121at Polymarket | 13 of 38· last season34%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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