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EPLGame lineTeam total
Over 2.5 (team total)
Won3 of 15last 15 games · 20%
Best price+770Polymarket
Price needs11.5%wins to break even
Every game6 of 45this season and last
Trend score-4.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 11% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 11% to break even | 5%–56% | 9 points betterwon 20%, needs 11% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 11% to break even | 7%–46% | 9 points betterwon 20%, needs 11% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 11% to break even | 8%–41% | 9 points betterwon 20%, needs 11% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 11% to break even | 3%–45% | 3 points betterwon 14%, needs 11% |
| Last season | 5 of 3813%needs 11% to break even | 7%–25% | 2 points betterwon 13%, needs 11% |
| Every game | 6 of 4513%needs 11% to break even | 7%–24% | 2 points betterwon 13%, needs 11% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SUN plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against LEE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Over 2.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
SUN goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | SUN goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  BOU | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  BHA | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  MNC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  ARS | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  BRE | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  FUL | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 |  IPS | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 |  CHE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 |  EVE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 9 |  MAN | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | WOL | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 24 |  NFO | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 |  AVL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  TOT | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 |  NEW | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 | BHA | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  LEE | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | BOU | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | FUL | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  LIV | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | ARS | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 | BUR | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | WHU | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 |  CRY | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | BRE | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | TOT | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | MNC | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | LEE | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | BHA | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | NEW | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | MNC | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | LIV | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | BOU | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | FUL | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | ARS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | EVE | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | CHE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | WOL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | MAN | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | NFO | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | AVL | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | CRY | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | BRE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 | BUR | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | WHU | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 team totalSunderland · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET |  +193at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 34% to break even | -11.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 team totalSunderland · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | -258at Polymarket | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 72% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 team totalSunderland · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | -1398at Polymarket | 33 of 38· last season87%needs 93% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Sunderland in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, SUN gamesSunderland · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -15.7Not beating its price | ||
| SUN to win moneylineSunderland · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | PIN+217at Pinnacle | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 game total, SUN gamesSunderland · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET |  +117at BetUS | 17 of 38· last season45%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price | |
| SUN 0 spreadSunderland · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET |  +110at BetOnline | 14 of 26· last season54%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.