This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 65% to break even | 44%–95% | 15 points betterwon 80%, needs 65% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 65% to break even | 65%–98% | 25 points betterwon 90%, needs 65% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 65% to break even | 46%–83% | 2 points betterwon 67%, needs 65% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 65% to break even | 55%–97% | 21 points betterwon 86%, needs 65% |
| Last season | 24 of 3863%needs 65% to break even | 50%–75% | 2 points shortwon 63%, needs 65% |
| Every game | 30 of 4567%needs 65% to break even | 54%–77% | 2 points betterwon 67%, needs 65% |
Tonight LEE plays on the road, as the favorite, against SUN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
LEE goals in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | LEE goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | WHU | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | BUR | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | WOL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | WHU | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | BUR | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | WOL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalLeeds United · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 14 of 38· last season37%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 2.5 team totalLeeds United · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | +585at Polymarket | 8 of 38· last season21%needs 15% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, LEE gamesLeeds United · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 56% to break even | -18.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 game total, LEE gamesLeeds United · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | +117at BetUS | 21 of 38· last season55%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price | |
| LEE 0 spreadLeeds United · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | -133at BetOnline | 6 of 8· last 15 games, 7 skipped75%needs 57% to break even | -21.0Not beating its price | ||
| LEE to win moneylineLeeds United · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | PIN+147at Pinnacle | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 40% to break even | -23.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.