This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 46% to break even | 44%–87% | 24 points betterwon 70%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 46% to break even | 46%–83% | 20 points betterwon 67%, needs 46% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 46% to break even | 29%–81% | 11 points betterwon 57%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 19 of 3850%needs 46% to break even | 37%–63% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 23 of 4551%needs 46% to break even | 39%–63% | 5 points betterwon 51%, needs 46% |
Tonight FUL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against COV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, FUL gamesFulham · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalFulham · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | WOL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 9 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | BUR | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | WHU | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | WHU | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | BUR | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | WOL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 28 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 19 of 38· last season50%needs 57% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -32.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, FUL gamesFulham · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | +193at Polymarket | 9 of 38· last season24%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 25 of 38· last season66%needs 55% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -7.3Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 team totalFulham · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | +1095at Polymarket | 1 of 38· last season3%needs 8% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 team totalFulham · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | -3403at Polymarket | 37 of 38· last season97%needs 97% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.2Not beating its price |
| FUL to win moneylineFulham · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | +135at BetMGM | 15 of 38· last season39%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price |
| FUL -0.5 spreadFulham · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | LVG+125at LowVig | 15 of 38· last season39%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalFulham · Sat, Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | +103at Polymarket | 13 of 38· last season34%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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