This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 64% to break even | 44%–95% | 16 points betterwon 80%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 64% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points shortwon 60%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 64% to break even | 46%–83% | 3 points betterwon 67%, needs 64% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 64% to break even | 35%–88% | 3 points betterwon 67%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 27 of 3479%needs 64% to break even | 66%–88% | 16 points betterwon 79%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 31 of 4078%needs 64% to break even | 65%–86% | 14 points betterwon 78%, needs 64% |
Tonight SCF plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MUN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCF +1.5 spreadSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | WOB | 2 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | HDH | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | STP | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 1 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | WOB | 7 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | HDH | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 8 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | STP | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 62% to break even |
| -32.1Not beating its price |
| Over 4 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | PIN+102at Pinnacle | 4 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped50%needs 50% to break even | -28.9Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 42% to break even | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 51% to break even |
| 14.5Strong |
| SCF to win moneylineSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | +600at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 14% to break even | Record is this season's | 13.6Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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