This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 475%needs 53% to break even | 36%–94% | 22 points betterwon 75%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 850%needs 53% to break even | 25%–75% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1362%needs 53% to break even | 39%–80% | 8 points betterwon 62%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 21 of 2875%needs 53% to break even | 60%–86% | 22 points betterwon 75%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 24 of 3373%needs 53% to break even | 59%–83% | 19 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% |
Tonight SCF plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MUN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 4, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCF +1.5 spreadSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET |
| Opponent |
|---|
| Total goals |
|---|
| Beat 4 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 12 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | WOB | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Apr 26 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Apr 19 | HDH | 3 | +1 | Won |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +3 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | STP | 3 | +1 | Won |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +3 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 6 | -2 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 1 | +3 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | WOB | 7 | -3 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | HDH | 3 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 22 | 8 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | STP | 3 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | +4 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 31 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 62% to break even |
| -32.1Not beating its price |
| Over 4 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | PIN+102at Pinnacle | 4 of 8· last 10 games, 2 skipped50%needs 50% to break even | -28.9Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 42% to break even | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 51% to break even |
| 14.5Strong |
| SCF to win moneylineSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | +600at FanDuel | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 14% to break even | Record is this season's | 13.6Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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