This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 450%needs 53% to break even | 18%–82% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 933%needs 53% to break even | 14%–60% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1331%needs 53% to break even | 15%–54% | 23 points shortwon 31%, needs 53% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 8 of 2631%needs 53% to break even | 18%–47% | 23 points shortwon 31%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 10 of 3132%needs 53% to break even | 20%–47% | 21 points shortwon 32%, needs 53% |
Tonight MUN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SCF. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 4, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 4 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 7 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 18 | 7 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | +4 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 6 | -2 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 6 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 9 | WOB | 1 | +3 | Won |
| May 2 | HDH | 6 | -2 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | 7 | -3 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 6 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | STP | 5 | -1 | Lost |
| Apr 4 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 6 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 24 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 6 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 11 | WOB | 9 | -5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | HDH | 4 | 0 | Tie |
| Dec 14 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 6 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | STP | 4 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 22 | 8 | -4 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Nov 1 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 4 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 20 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 5 | -1 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 6 | -2 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, MUN gamesBayern Munich · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 26 of 34· last season76%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 4 game total, MUN gamesBayern Munich · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | PIN+102at Pinnacle | 18 of 26· last season69%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 game total, MUN gamesBayern Munich · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 42% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUN -2.5 spreadBayern Munich · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.9Not beating its price | |
| MUN -1.5 spreadBayern Munich · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | PIN-106at Pinnacle | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price | |
| MUN to win moneylineBayern Munich · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | -250at BetMGM | 28 of 34· last season82%needs 71% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.