Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres Odds (Nov 4): Spread, Total & Trends

The Daily Hit

Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres Odds (Nov 4): Spread, Total & Trends · The Daily Hit

NHLTomorrow 7:30 PM ET

Away

Ottawa Senators

45% to win · best +116

Home

Buffalo Sabres

55% to win · best -134

SpreadTotalTo win

OTT+1.5-223

O 6.5-129

+116

BUF-1.5+169

U 6.5+107

-134

Books

No market

Polymarket

45%55%

Kalshi

No market

Average

45%55%

+1.5 spread: that team can lose by 1 goal and the bet still winsO 5.5 total: wins if the two teams score 6 or more goals combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →

Prices

Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean

Book	Moneyline		Spread		Total
Book	OTT	BUF	OTT +1.5	BUF -1.5	O 6.5	U 6.5
Chance it wins	44.5%fair odds +125	55.5%fair odds -125	66.0%fair odds -194	34.0%fair odds +194	54.0%fair odds -117	46.0%fair odds +117
Edge at the best price	-3.9%Normal	-3.1%Normal	-4.4%Normal	-8.5%Poor price	-4.1%Normal	-4.8%Normal

Before you bet

Who's hurt, rest, the weather, form and how the two teams match up. Injuries can change up to game time.

KeyBank Center · Buffalo, NY

OTTAway · 9-6-1 overall · 4-4-1 on the road3rd in the Atlantic Division

Last 5: WLLWL
Rest: 2 days off
Injuries: 4 listed, 4 out
Goalies: Samuel Ersson · played most7 games · 86.6% of shots saved · 3.78 goals allowed a gameJonas Johansson4 games · 84.8% of shots saved · 4.60 goals allowed a game

Andre Burakovsky	LW	Injured Reserve	Lower Body · back ~Nov 27
Warren Foegele	LW	Injured Reserve	Right Knee · back ~Nov 25
Linus Ullmark	G	Injured Reserve	Lower Body · back ~Nov 7
William Eklund	LW	Injured Reserve	Ankle · back ~Jan 5

BUFHome · 7-4-3 overall · 3-3-0 at home7th in the Atlantic Division

Last 5: LLWWW
Rest: 3 days off
Injuries: 5 listed, 4 out
Goalies: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen · played most10 games · 87.4% of shots saved · 3.40 goals allowed a gameColten Ellis5 games · 88.0% of shots saved · 3.11 goals allowed a game

Konsta Helenius	C	Out	Upper Body · back ~Nov 17
Justin Danforth

When OTT has the puck

This season	OTT offense	BUF defense
Goals a game	3.115th fewest	3.4 allowed9th most
Shots a game	25.710th fewest	27.1 allowed13th fewest
Power plays	12.5% scored3rd lowest	68.6% stopped4th lowest

When BUF has the puck

This season	BUF offense	OTT defense
Goals a game	3.114th fewest	3.2 allowed16th fewest
Shots a game	28.112th most	27.2 allowed15th fewest
Power plays	17.0% scored10th lowest	72.9% stopped10th lowest

Ranks out of 32 teams this season. Green: among the league's best third at it. Red: among its worst third.

More season numbers

Last time they met OTT beat BUF 4–1 · Apr 2 · last season

Team	1	2	3	Final
BUF	0	1	0	1
OTT	0	1	3	4

Before you bet

Loading injuries and weather…

Trends

Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend counts every recent game, whoever the opponent, and some are luck.

Every trend in this game

No bet in this game is winning more often than its price needs right now.

Bets not beating their price they've won less often than their price needs

Trends

Loading game logs…

Prediction markets

On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.

PolymarketTrade ↗

OTT44.5%

BUF55.5%

$2,200 available at this price$89 available at this price

BUF 54.5% → 55.5% today$3K traded · BUF win chance, last 24 hours
$2K traded today · $10K in open orders

PolymarketTrade ↗

OTT44.5%

BUF55.5%

$3K traded · BUF win chance, last 24 hours
$2K traded today · $10K in open orders

Kalshi

Not listed on Kalshi.

Kalshi

Not listed on Kalshi.

Every number

Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.

Spread

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
BUF +1.5	76% chance	-373	OTT -1.5+271
BUF -1.5Most books' number	34% chance	+169$690 available at this price	OTT +1.5-223$260 available at this price
BUF -2.5	24% chance	+271	OTT +2.5-396

Total

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
Over 4.5	84% chance	-646	Under 4.5+406
Over 5.5	63% chance	-195	Under 5.5+149
Over 6.5

Sharp money

Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.

Money traded$3K

$3K traded

Riding on it now$0paid out when the game ends

Sharp money, last 24 hoursNoneno trades of $5,000 or more

No single trade of $5,000 or more on this game in the last 24 hours.

"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works

This season	OTT	BUF
Shots saved	89.5%12th highest	87.6%4th lowest
Shots that score	12.2%10th highest	10.9%14th lowest
Penalty minutes a game	13.62nd most	10.014th most
Power play goals against	16	16
Short handed goals against	0	0
Power play goals	8	8

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Trend score
Game line · Total See the bet with Pro	Price with Pro	3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even	-10.9Not beating its price
Game line · Total See the bet with Pro	Price with Pro	46 of 86· last season53%needs 48% to break even	-13.7Not beating its price
Game line · Total See the bet with Pro	Price with Pro	37 of 95· last season39%needs 40% to break even	-13.8Not beating its price
Game line · Moneyline See the bet with Pro	Price with Pro	44 of 86· last season51%needs 46% to break even	-16.2Not beating its price

Pro

See the bets behind these records with Pro.

The side, the number, the best price, every game behind it and the same bet at other numbers. $4.99 a month, cancel any time.

Unlock every trend

Ottawa Senators at Buffalo Sabres

Prices