Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Odds (Nov 22): Spread, Total & Trends

The Daily Hit

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Odds (Nov 22): Spread, Total & Trends · The Daily Hit

NFLSun, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET

Away

Miami Dolphins

8% to win · best +945

Home

Buffalo Bills

92% to win · best -1428

SpreadTotalTo win

MIA––+945

BUF––-1428

Books

No market

Polymarket

No market

Kalshi

8%92%

Average

8%92%

+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined-1428 bet $1428 to win $100+945 bet $100 to win $945The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →

Prices

Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean

Book	Moneyline
Book	MIA	BUF
Chance it wins	8.4%fair odds +1088	91.6%fair odds -1088
Edge at the best price	-12.1%Poor price	-2.0%Normal
Kalshi	+945	-1428

Vig at the best pricesto win 2.9%Cheapest books →

Before you bet

Who's hurt, rest, the weather, form and how the two teams match up. Injuries can change up to game time.

Highmark Stadium · Orchard Park, NY · grass

MIAAway · 1-7 overall · 1-3 on the road4th in the AFC East

Last 5: LLWLL
Rest: 6 days off
Injuries: 5 listed, 3 out

Darrell Baker Jr.	CB	Out	Undisclosed · back ~Nov 15
Malik Willis	QB	Injured Reserve	Groin · back ~Dec 13
Zach Sieler	DT	Injured Reserve	Biceps · back ~Feb 15
Jaylen Wright	RB	Questionable	Quadriceps · back ~Nov 15
Will Kacmarek	TE	Questionable	Quadriceps · back ~Nov 15

BUFHome · 7-1 overall · 3-1 at home1st in the AFC East

Last 5: LWWWW
Rest: 6 days off
Injuries: 5 listed, 2 out

Tyrell Shavers	WR	Out	Knee - ACL · back ~Nov 15
Joshua Palmer	WR	Injured Reserve	Right Hamstring · back ~Dec 6
Alec Andersonstarting LG	OT	Questionable	Ankle · back ~Nov 15
Dion Dawkins

When MIA has the ball

This season	MIA offense	BUF defense
Points a game	15.82nd fewest	23.4 allowed16th fewest
Passing yards a game	164.83rd fewest	238.8 allowed4th most
Rushing yards a game	117.513th most	91.6 allowed7th fewest
Turnovers a game	1.3 lost16th most	1.5 forced7th most

When BUF has the ball

This season	BUF offense	MIA defense
Points a game	32.0the most	25.0 allowed10th most
Passing yards a game	239.813th most	214.4 allowed12th fewest
Rushing yards a game	146.62nd most

Last time they met MIA beat BUF 30–13 · Nov 9 · last season

Team	1	2	3	4	Final
BUF	0	0	0	13	13
MIA	7	9	0	14	30

Before you bet

Loading injuries and weather…

Trends

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Prediction markets

On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.

Polymarket

Not listed on Polymarket.

Polymarket

Not listed on Polymarket.

KalshiTrade ↗

MIA8.4%

BUF91.6%

$320 available at this price$3,400 available at this price

BUF 74.8% → 91.6% todayabout $2K traded · BUF win chance, last 24 hours
about $2K traded today

KalshiTrade ↗

MIA8.4%

BUF91.6%

about $2K traded · BUF win chance, last 24 hours
about $2K traded today

Sharp money

Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.

Money tradedabout $2K

about $2K traded

Riding on it now$4Kpaid out when the game ends

Sharp money, last 24 hoursNoneno trades of $5,000 or more

Big trades show here from 36 hours before the start.

"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works

Turnovers a game	1.5 lost9th most	0.9 forced3rd fewest

More season numbers side by side

This season	MIA	BUF
Yards a game	282.35th fewest	386.4the most
Yards allowed a game	326.113th fewest	330.416th fewest
Third downs converted	42%10th highest	43%8th highest
Plays a game	56.0the fewest	64.39th most
Passes as a share of plays	52%7th lowest	49%2nd lowest
Turnover margin this season	-39th lowest	016th highest

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

Prices

Before you bet

When MIA has the ball

When BUF has the ball

Before you bet

Trends

Prediction markets

Sharp money

Before you bet

When MIA has the ball

When BUF has the ball