Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls Odds (Nov 12): Spread, Total & Trends

The Daily Hit

Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls Odds (Nov 12): Spread, Total & Trends · The Daily Hit

NCAAFThu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET

Away

Memphis Tigers

64% to win · best -190

Home

South Florida Bulls

36% to win · best +180

SpreadTotalTo win

MEM-5.5+105PXO 48.5-106NV-190NV

USF+5.5-109

U 48.5-104NV

Books

64%36%

Polymarket

No market

Kalshi

64%36%

Average

64%36%

USF +5.5 spread: South Florida Bulls can lose by up to 5 points and the bet still winsO 48.5 total: wins if the two teams score 49 or more points combined-190 bet $190 to win $100+180 bet $100 to win $180The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →

Prices

Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean

Book	Moneyline		Spread		Total
Book	MEM	USF	MEM -5.5	USF +5.5	O 48.5	U 48.5
Chance it wins	64.3%fair odds -180	35.7%fair odds +180	48.7%fair odds +105	51.3%fair odds -105	50.4%fair odds -102	49.6%fair odds +102
Edge at the best price	-1.8%Normal	-0.1%Normal	+1.7%Good price	-3.4%Normal	-2.6%Normal	-2.1%Normal
NV

Before you bet

Who's hurt, rest, the weather, form and how the two teams match up. Injuries can change up to game time.

Raymond James Stadium · Tampa, FL · grass

MEMAway · 7-2 overall2nd in the American Conference

Last 5: WWLWW
Rest: 11 days offAfter a bye
Injuries: None listed

No one on the injury report.

USFHome · 6-3 overall9th in the American Conference

Last 5: LLWWL
Rest: 5 days off
Injuries: None listed

No one on the injury report.

When MEM has the ball

This season	MEM offense	USF defense
Points a game	37.614th most	15.1 allowed10th fewest
Passing yards a game	290.613th most	183.3 allowed23rd fewest
Rushing yards a game	222.89th most	129.3 allowed49th fewest
Turnovers a game	1.7 lost29th most	1.1 forced29th fewest

When USF has the ball

This season	USF offense	MEM defense
Points a game	25.950th fewest	23.6 allowed59th fewest
Passing yards a game	168.012th fewest	189.1 allowed33rd fewest
Rushing yards a game	148.263rd fewest

Last time they met MEM beat USF 34–31 · Oct 25 · last season

Team	1	2	3	4	Final
USF	14	10	7	0	31
MEM	7	7	3	17	34

Before you bet

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Trends

Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend counts every recent game, whoever the opponent, and some are luck.

Every trend in this game

Team trends

Quarters & halves

Bets not beating their price they've won less often than their price needs

Trends

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Prediction markets

On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.

Polymarket

Not listed on Polymarket.

Polymarket

Not listed on Polymarket.

KalshiTrade ↗

MEM64.2%

USF35.8%

$65 available at this price$21 available at this price

USF 32.7% → 35.5% todayabout $2K traded · USF win chance, last 24 hours
about $803 traded today

KalshiTrade ↗

MEM64.2%

USF35.8%

about $2K traded · USF win chance, last 24 hours
about $803 traded today

Every number

Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.

Spread

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
MEM -1.5	63% chance	-199	USF +1.5+140
MEM -2.5	61% chance	-175	USF +2.5+140
MEM -3.5	54% chance	-131	USF +3.5+101
MEM -4.5	50% chance	NV-108	USF +4.5NV+106
MEM -5.5Most books' number	47% chance	PX+105	USF +5.5-109
MEM -6.5	45% chance	+109	USF +6.5-137
MEM -7.5	39% chance	+140	USF +7.5-183
MEM -9.5	36% chance	+159	USF +9.5-199
MEM -10.5	33% chance	+173	USF +10.5-239

Total

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
Over 41.5	69% chance	-263	Under 41.5+189
Over 44.5	61% chance	-183	Under 44.5+134

Sharp money

Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.

Money tradedabout $2K

about $2K traded

Riding on it now$4Kpaid out when the game ends

Sharp money, last 24 hoursNoneno trades of $5,000 or more

Big trades show here from 36 hours before the start.

"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works

Bet	How often it won	Trend score
Game line · Team total See the bet with Pro	6 of 9· this season67%needs 51% to break even	-1.4Not beating its price
Game line · Total See the bet with Pro	7 of 9· this season78%needs 51% to break even	-1.8Not beating its price
Game line · Spread See the bet with Pro	7 of 9· this season78%needs 49% to break even	-2.0Not beating its price
Game line · Team total See the bet with Pro	5 of 9· this season56%needs 53% to break even	-2.0Not beating its price

Bet	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score
Game line · 1st half spread See the bet with Pro	6 of 9· this season67%needs 53% to break even		-1.2Not beating its price
Game line · 1st half total See the bet with Pro	6 of 9· this season67%needs 59% to break even		-2.6Not beating its price

Pro

See the bets behind these records with Pro.

The side, the number, the best price, every game behind it and the same bet at other numbers. $4.99 a month, cancel any time.

Unlock every trend

Bet	How often it won	Trend score
Game line · 1st half spread See the bet with Pro	5 of 9· this season56%needs 56% to break even	-2.4Not beating its price
Game line · 1st half total See the bet with Pro	3 of 9· this season33%needs 50% to break even	-2.5Not beating its price
Game line · Total See the bet with Pro	3 of 9· this season33%needs 51% to break even	-2.7Not beating its price
Game line · Team total See the bet with Pro	4 of 9· this season44%needs 53% to break even	-2.8Not beating its price

Turnovers a game	0.7 lost9th fewest	2.4 forced3rd most

More season numbers side by side

This season	MEM	USF
Yards a game	513.35th most	316.214th fewest
Yards allowed a game	377.053rd most	312.725th fewest
Third downs converted	46%24th highest	37%46th lowest
Plays a game	71.318th most	58.94th fewest
Passes as a share of plays	42%32nd lowest	41%24th lowest
Turnover margin this season	+716th highest	+436th highest

Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls

Prices