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Aston Villa at Manchester United
SpreadTotalTo win
AVL––+198
MAN––+114Draw24% chance+280
PolymarketNo market
Kalshi31%24%44%
+0.5 spread: wins if that team wins or drawsO 2.5 total: wins if the two teams score 3 or more goals combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Prices
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
| Book | Moneyline | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| AVL | MAN | Draw | |
| Chance it wins | 31.3%fair odds +219 | 44.4%fair odds +125 | 24.2%fair odds +312 |
| Edge at the best price | -6.7%Poor price | -4.9%Normal | -7.9%Poor price |
| Kalshi | +198 | +114 | +280 |
Vig at the best prices
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Prediction markets
On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
PolymarketKalshiTrade ↗AVL31.3%MAN44.4%Sharp money
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
